| 28 October 2010
Before the 2010 baseball season began, we asked you guys to make your predictions for the expected starting roster. It's time to look back and see who knew their 2010 Red Sox the best.
Daisuke Matsuzaka (read original projection post here)
Below you'll find Dice-K's actual 2010 stats in RED, my predictions in italics and the Fan Projections.
I expected big things from Matsuzaka in 2010. He trained at the API in the offseason and seemed ready to bounce back from a disastrous 2009 campaign... but more injuries and inconsistency lead to another disappointing season.
Most us expected Dice-K to log 25+ games and 170+ innings, but due to another stint on the DL, Matsuzaka only logged 25 starts and 153 innings. baf092003 nailed the starts category and, to be honest, he came close in most of the categories... but he too expected double digit wins, and Dice-K finished at 9-6. Matsuzaka did have 10 no decisions this year and allowed two runs or less in four of those games, so he had a shot at 10-12 wins, but his inability to pitch into the 7th inning, means the bullpen has to step in and finish the game - and that often leads to vultured wins and NDs.
Bill M. doesn't appear to be a Matsuzaka fan. He projected just 13 starts but expected Dice-K to earn the decision in all of them. In doing so, he guessed the closest W-L record, but he was way off on the big picture.
Most of us expected Dice-K to hover around 4.00 in ERA, but he actually maned to do worse than that, finishing at 4.69...
... and we owe this guy $20 mil' over the next two years.
His walks were down from the league leading 94 he posted in 2008, but 74 in 153 innings is still not good. The result was a 1.37 WHIP, and we had three players come real close in that category.
Lastly... the Ks. After posting 201 strikeouts in his first year in Boston, Matsuzaka's walks and hits have gone up and the Ks have gone down. redsoxtalk came close with a 125 guess and was very close on the innings pitched as well, so they knew something most of us didn't. The rest of us wanted 30 starts and 170+ Ks... but I guess that's too much to ask for.
Bottom Line: redsoxtalk and Mark S. came closest overall, so we're going to send out some stickers from SoxStiCkers.com as prizes. Stay tuned for more 2010 results and prizes!
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